A Model for the Solar Cycle that can Forecast Solar Activity

Authors: L. A. Fisk (Umich), L. Zhao (Umich), J. R. MacTaggart (Umich), C. A. Ballard (Umich), and S.T. Lepri (Umich)

We will present a new model for the solar cycle, which will provide: 1) formulae, verified by observations of Cycles 21-25, that connect the open magnetic field at solar minimum to the duration and maximum number of sunspots in the solar activity phase that follows; 2) formulae that connect sequential cycles, and thus from the properties of Cycle 25, forecast Cycle 26.