SOFIE (Solar-wind with Field-lines and Energetic-particles): A data-driven and self-consistent SEP modeling and forecasting tool

Authors: Lulu Zhao (University of Michigan), Igor Sokolov (University of Michigan), Tamas Gombosi (University of Michigan), Zhenguang Huang (University of Michigan), Gabor Toth (University of Michigan), Ward Manchester (University of Michigan), Bart van der Holst (University of Michigan), Nishtha Sachdeva (University of Michigan)

We present a data-driven and self-consistent SEP model, SOFIE, to simulate the acceleration and transport processes of energetic particles using the Space Weather Modeling Framework (SWMF) developed at the University of Michigan. In this model, the background solar wind plasma in the solar corona and interplanetary space is modeled by the Alfven Wave Solar- atmosphere Model(-Realtime) (AWSoM(-R)), which is driven by the near-real-time hourly up- dated GONG (bihourly ADAPT-GONG) magnetogram. In the background solar wind, the CMEs are launched employing the Eruptive Event Generator using Gibson-Low configuration (EEGGL), by inserting a flux rope estimated from the free magnetic energy in the active region. The acceleration and transport processes are then modeled self-consistently by the multiple magnetic field line tracker (M-FLAMPA) and the Adaptive Mesh Particle Simulator (AMPS). We will demonstrate the capability of SOFIE to demystify the acceleration processes by the CME-driven shock in the low corona and the modulation of energetic particles by the solar wind structures. Besides, using selected historical SEP events, e.g. 2013 Apr 11 event, we will illustrate the progresses toward a faster-than-real-time prediction of SEPs.